Dolarul - la minimul tuturor timpurilor

[norocchior]

Domnule DAC,


Vedetzi ce frumos s-a incadrat PRE_VIZIUNEA

- pana la un anumit nivel=moment de timp -

IN INTERVALUL CEL MAI PROBABIL AL VARIATZIILOR=OSCILATZIILOR=FLUCTUATZIILOR ZILNICE ASHTEPTATE

Parca-i shi aud pe fratzi zicand:

" Bai Dorule, DOAR CAND OI FI TU ALA CARE INVARTE "RULETA" IN CAZINOUL FOREX, SA PRETINZI CA POTZI SA FACI PRE_VIZIUNI INFAILIBILE !!! "

Pana atunci, MUCLES !

[dixy2k]

$1.6018




"AP
Euro breaks through $1.60 as dollar slumps to record low
Tuesday April 22, 6:01 pm ET 
Euro breaks through record $1.60 as European Central Bank governors warn on inflation


NEW YORK (AP) -- The euro roared to another record high Tuesday, crossing $1.60 for the first time ever after a pair of European Central Bank governors said high inflation may cause the bank to raise interest rates. The U.S. dollar also fell against the Japanese yen and the British pound.
ADVERTISEMENT
 
 
The euro rose as high as $1.6018, more than a penny above the $1.5916 it bought late Monday. The 15-nation currency, which was introduced in 1999, has traded as low as 82 cents. It has surged recently, rising 20 cents against the dollar in just five months and 10 cents in just two months.

The euro hit its last record of $1.5982 Thursday. It dropped back Friday after a Wall Street rally generated optimism that the worst of the U.S. credit crunch may be over, but the euro rose again Monday when Bank of America's first-quarter earnings fell short of expectations.

The dollar's slump is a boon for U.S. companies that rely heavily on exports, but it's the bane of travelers as worldwide inflation rises, air fares climb and prices rise in dollar terms for everything from beer in Munich to fine wine in Paris to gondola rides in Venice.

Tuesday's remarks by Yves Mersch in the Financial Times Deutschland and comments made by Christian Noyer to France's RTL radio showed the governing council of the ECB is committed get euro zone inflation back around 2 percent, below the current 3.6 percent it is at now.

It effectively threw water on any hopes of a rate cut by the bank, which has kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 4 percent since June even as the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Canada have consistently lowered their own rates.

The Bank of Canada on Tuesday slashed its interest rate by half a percentage point to 3 percent. It also hinted another cut may be coming as it feels the effects of a slumping economy at its largest trading partner. The dollar edged up to 1.0084 Canadian dollars in late New York trading, from 1.0072 Canadian dollars Monday.

The dollar has been weighed down by a combination of gloomy U.S. economic data and high European inflation -- fueling expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates yet again while the European Central Bank will leave rates unchanged.

Lower interest rates can weigh on a nation's currency as traders transfer funds to countries where they can earn better returns, while higher rates are used to curb inflation.

The British pound had been hit by a cautious reception for the Bank of England's announcement Monday of a 50 billion pound ($100 billion) plan to allow banks to swap mortgage-backed securities for Treasury bills. The pound reversed its declines Tuesday, however, rising to $1.9952 from $1.9798. The dollar was down against the Japanese currency, dropping to 103.09 yen from 104.17 yen.

The high euro is bound to cause more pain for European manufacturers who export cars, food, wine and other products to the United States because it means their goods are more expensive.

Airbus, a unit of European Aeronautic Defense and Space Co. announced a general price increase for its aircraft of an additional $2 million per single-aisle aircraft and $4 million per wide-body long range and A380 family aircraft as of May 1, citing the high euro and the cost for raw materials.

German automaker BMW AG has said it will start producing more cars in South Carolina in a bid to take advantage of the cheaper dollar. Volkswagen AG has said it is likely to build a new production plant in the United States, too.

In other late New York trading, the dollar bought 1.0028 Swiss francs, down from 1.0072 francs."


http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080422/dollar.html

[norocchior]

Ce le mai place analishtilor shi oralishtilor astora:

SA FACA LUMEA=MASA SA CREADA:

1) CA EVOLUTZIILE PARITATZILOR DINTRE MONEDE;
2) SAU CELE ALE PRETZURILOR LA BURSA,

SUNT CORELATE CU=DEPENDENTE DE DATELE FUNDAMENTALE ALE:

1) MACRO_ECONOMIILOR TZARILOR RESPECTIVE, in cazul cotatziilor reciproce ale monedelor;
2) SAU ALE MICRO_ECONOMIILOR COMPANIILOR RESPECTIVE, in cazul pretzurilor la bursa,

CAND IN REALITATE=DE FAPT:

1) ACESTE CORELATZII=DEPENDENTZE IN TIMP, DATORITA UNEI SLABE INTENSITATZI A INFLUENTZEI EXERCITATE ASUPRA LOR DE INDICATORII=DATELE FUNDAMENTALE ALE:

1.a) Macro_economiilor tzarilor ale caror monede sunt ESTIMATE pe "piatza"=CAZINOUL VALUTAR;
1.b) Micro_economiilor companiilor ale caror pretzuri sunt ESTIMATE pe "piatza"=CAZINOUL BURSIER,

SUNT CORELATZII=LEGATURI=DEPENDENTZE MAI MULT FICTIVE=ILUZORII=O FACATURA, DECAT REALE;

2) DEOARECE: EVOLUTZIILE RESPECTIVE IN TIMP, SUNT CORELATE=LEGATE=DEPENDENTE IN CEA MAI MARE MASURA=APROAPE IN EXCLUSIVITATE:

DE VOINTZA CELOR CARE FAC=PRODUC=DETERMINA EXISTENTZA SHI MANIFESTAREA RESPECTIVELOR EVOLUTZII:

DUPA UN MODEL PROBABILIST=ALEATOR=AIURITOR,

IDENTIC CU=COPIAT DUPA, CEL AL JOCURILOR DE NOROC, 

MODEL CARE MAI MULT MIMEAZA=SIMULEAZA O CONCORDANTZA=SIMULTANEITATE A EVOLUTZIILOR IN TIMP CU EVOLUTZIA DATELOR FUNDAMENTALE ale economiilor tzarilor sau companiilor, DECAT SA DOVEDEASCA=REPREZINTE ACEASTA SIMULTANEITATE=CONCORDANTZA=CORELATZIE=DEPENDENTZA IN TIMP !!!


Iar asha ceva se intampla, doar pentru ca:

LUMEA=MASA=TURMA - in cazul in care shi-ar dori acest lucru - SA NU SE POATA SINCRONIZA=CORELA CORECT=LA TIMP CU EVOLUTZIILE RESPECTIVE, SINCRONIZARE=CORELARE URMARITA DE EA IN SCOPUL EVITARII SHI/SAU MINIMIZARII PAGUBELOR=PIERDERILOR, SHI CONCOMITENT=SIMULTAN IN CEL AL MAXIMIZARII CASHTIGURILOR !!!!!!


P.S.
Shtiatzi ca: CONVENTZIILE PENTRU EVITAREA DUBLEI IMPUNERI NU SUNT IN MOD REAL, CEEA CE PAR A FI NOMINAL=DIN TITLU

Adica, aceste conventzii sunt facute=incheiate - PE BAZA DE RECIPROCITATE - intre 2 state:

NU PENTRU A FACE VREO FAVOARE CETATZENILOR ACESTOR STATE, CI:

TOCMAI PENTRU FAPTUL CA CETATZENII UNUIA DINTRE CELE 2 STATE,
SA NU POATA EVITA IMPOZITAREA IN STATUL LOR DE DOMICILIU=AL CAROR CETATZENI SUNT,
CHIAR DACA EI APELEAZA LA RELOCAREA=DECLARAREA AFACERILOR=VENITURILOR LOR,
DIN STATUL DE ORIGINE=DOMICILIU, IN STATUL LOR DE ADOPTZIE=REZIDENTZA.


Cu alte cuvinte:

STATUL DE REZIDENTZA II COCOSHEAZA BINE DE TOT CU IMPOZITAREA PE TOTZI CETATZENII STRAINI=REZIDENTZII SAI, ASTFEL INCAT SA-I POATA DA SHI STATULUI LOR DE DOMICLIU=ORIGINE

- CONFORM CONVENTZIEI INCHEIATE IN PREALABIL INTRE CELE 2 STATE, TOCMAI IN SCOPUL IN_EVITARII=ELIMINARII EVITARII DUBLEI IMPUNERI, INCERCATE DE CETATZENII UNOR STATE -

PARTEA DE IMPOZIT CARE I SE CUVINE ACESTUIA, IN VIRTUTEA DREPTULUI DE DISPOZITZIE=PROPRIETATE ASUPRA CETATZEANULUI AL CARUI STAPAN ESTE,

STATUL DE REZIDENTZA URMAND SA INCASEZE PARTEA DE IMPOZIT AFERENTA DOAR DREPTULUI DE FOLOSINTZA ASUPRA REZIDENTULUI=CETATZEANULUI STRAIN, RATACIT INTENTZIONAT IN STRAINATATE  !

[norocchior]

1 EURO = 1,26 DOLARI !


Si EURO continua sa (s)cada - de la 1,60 - iar DOLARUL continua sa creasca ....... intr-o prima faza, cel putin pana la:


PARITATEA DE ECHI_LIBRU !